Forecasting Futures – Week 2
This introduction to forecasting futures opened with the idea we have of the future and how we define the future. The main focus was on how our perception has changed and evolved along with civilisation and our views on the future today.
The theme of time appears frequently throughout ancient history. The early utopian thoughts focused more on the future being an alternate reality rather than a more developed version of the same reality. Therefore suggesting the same time but a different place. However by the end of the 18th century, people’s perception of the future changed as they began to picture a more advanced version of their reality, Same place but a different time. This made me start to question how one would define time. Is it a matter of opinion and views or can it be defined and measured by unit?
Early civilisation started to use various events and changes in nature to mark and measure the change in time. For example, the change in light throughout a day and the movement of the moon. Over longer time frames they also started to notice and record changes in tide heights and weather patterns, eventually leading to the creation of seasons. From this new information, civilisation was able to create the calendar. Perhaps the most famous example being the calendar created by the Mayan’s, a complex system of calendars that claimed to also be able to predict future events as well as the highly speculated ‘doomsday’ which appears throughout history and religion in many different shapes and forms.
“When does the future begin?”
During the lecture, we began to think about how we measure time and our perception of the future. We were all asked the question “when does the future start?” To me, this was a very simple question, as for me the future includes anything that is about to happen, this could be from the next five minutes down to the next millisecond. I also see anything that has just happened, down to the last millisecond, to be in the past. A constantly moving a very precise linear system.To my surprise, people’s view of the future was significantly different, with some seeing the future in blocks of time such as activities that are taking place that day. Some of my fellow peers also viewed the future being the next five to ten years.
After this insight we took part in a workshop, in which we were required to produce our own visual representation of time, a timeline. However this did not have to be in a linear form like many timelines. I processed my perceptions of the future and created the following diagram.